More people have already died from COVID-19 in the US this year than in 2020

More than 1 deaths from COVID-353 have already been reported since January 000, according to Johns Hopkins University, which is about a thousand more than last year in the first 19 months of the pandemic in the United States (10). The edition told in more detail NY Daily News.

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There are key differences between the two years that may explain some of the changes, according to medical experts.

Florida International University professor and chair of epidemiology, Dr. Mary Jo Trepka, said the much more contagious Delta variant increased the number of cases, resulting in much higher cumulative rates. This was compounded by the lack of herd immunity due to low vaccination rates.

“So a lot of people were unprotected,” Trepka concluded.

She noted that mass vaccination was not available until the spring, and the biggest surge this year occurred in January - after the holidays. In addition, unlike 2020, there were no widespread lockdowns this year.

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“The coronavirus doesn’t know what year it is,” said Dr. David Dowdy, assistant professor of epidemiology at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. “And deaths mostly come in waves.”

Tellingly, the biggest surge of 2020 came in the days immediately after the holidays—before vaccines became widely available.

Comparing the number of cases with the number of deaths is also key, Trepka said.

“The more cases of COVID-19 there are, the more deaths there will be,” the professor believes, although this also depends on who gets sick. Older or medically vulnerable people have a higher chance of serious illness and a higher mortality rate.

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In addition, the Delta variant changed the frequency of vaccinations required for herd immunity, Trepka said.

“We hope that we can increase vaccination rates so that we don't get another big surge like we did this summer,” she said. — The level of vaccination required to achieve herd immunity depends on the pathogen. When you have something that is highly transmissible, you need to vaccinate a much larger percentage of the population to get herd immunity.”

Thus, both Trepka and Daudi stated that increasing the number of vaccinations is critical to avert another deadly wave.

“It should be noted that if we had done a better job of vaccinating the population before this latest wave, we could have prevented a significant number of deaths,” Dowdy said, referring to the summer surge largely among unvaccinated people.

“Even now, a third of the adult population is not fully vaccinated, and that's more than 50 million people who are at risk of actually getting the disease and potentially dying,” Dowdy said. “If these people were vaccinated, it would reduce the risk of death from this disease - not to zero, but to a very manageable level.”

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