Why the West is in no hurry to punish Russia for aggression in the Sea of ​​Azov - ForumDaily
The article has been automatically translated into English by Google Translate from Russian and has not been edited.
Переклад цього матеріалу українською мовою з російської було автоматично здійснено сервісом Google Translate, без подальшого редагування тексту.
Bu məqalə Google Translate servisi vasitəsi ilə avtomatik olaraq rus dilindən azərbaycan dilinə tərcümə olunmuşdur. Bundan sonra mətn redaktə edilməmişdir.

Why is the West in no hurry to punish Russia for aggression in the Sea of ​​Azov

How to solve the issue with the introduction of sanctions and when it will be solved.

Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. Photo: kremlin.ru

Almost two weeks have passed since Russia’s attack on Ukrainian ships in the Sea of ​​Azov. Almost all the leading countries of the world expressed support for Ukraine and condemned the actions of the aggressor. However, this is where the process of “peace enforcement” frankly slowed down. No new sanctions have been introduced against Russia. Any other actions aimed at solving the problem are not discussed, at least not publicly. Why - the site tried to figure it out "Today«.

Ukrainian initiatives

Ukraine is making significant efforts at the diplomatic level so that our Western allies take further and, more importantly, more practical steps as soon as possible. Options are offered very different.

On Wednesday, December 5, the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry issued a statement to the signatory countries of the Budapest Memorandum calling for urgent consultations “to ensure full compliance with obligations and the immediate cessation of Russian aggression against Ukraine.”

Earlier, President Petro Poroshenko called on NATO member countries to increase the presence of their ships in the Black Sea as a deterrent for Russia.

“The international community and a united Europe must increase pressure on Russia. Ukraine needs a strong, unified, unambiguous reaction regarding Russia’s aggressive behavior,” the head of state noted.

However, experts seriously doubt that the West will heed the calls of Ukraine and will take steps that the Kremlin can regard as direct pressure.

“The West will not agree to send ships to the Kerch Strait. This is too great a risk of a direct military clash with Russia. Therefore, whether the Ukrainians would like it or not, there will be no direct military support of this kind,” notes political scientist Vladimir Fesenko.

Thus, what Ukraine can count on today is the strengthening of sanctions against the aggressor. But here everything is not so simple.

According to US sanctions

The legal basis for sanctions against Russia in the United States are decrees of the president and laws approved by Congress.

The Directorate for Control of Foreign Assets, which is part of the Ministry of Finance, makes proposals for the inclusion in the sanctions lists of certain individuals and companies. After that, the Minister of Finance, in agreement with the state secretary, either lists these proposals or not.

“In the US, a political decision can be made quite quickly at the presidential level. And then it’s a question of the executive branch regarding expanding the list of persons against whom sanctions will be imposed,” noted the head of the Ukrainian Foundation of Security Studios, Yulia Kazdobina, in a commentary to Today.

As for Congress, US lawmakers also have the ability to respond quickly to challenges.

“In the United States, 70% of congressmen and senators are lawyers,” Alexei Kuropyatnik, an expert on foreign policy and security policy at the Maidan of Foreign Affairs, told the Segodnya website. “The Americans constantly consult with non-governmental organizations and are constantly working on new sanctions, not expecting that right now, they will be immediately introduced. They are developing different options of varying degrees of “severity” for Russia. And they are calculating how the introduction of these sanctions will affect the US economy. This is a constant, continuous, permanent process.”

According to the expert, having already prepared, calculated reaction variants, the American authorities can use them if necessary.

According to the EU sanctions

Other strategic partners of Ukraine - the European Union - the situation with decision-making, one can say, is exactly the opposite. To decide on the imposition of sanctions, a consensus decision of all EU member states is necessary.

“Each specific case has its own decision-making configuration. The basic principle is this: all countries must agree. Moreover, if, for example, in some EU country the parliament of that country decides that the decision does not meet national interests, it will give instructions to its government, and the government will oppose it. And then there will be no corresponding decision from the European Union,” said Alexey Kuropyatnik.

And just with the consensus problem. Last week it became known that the key European countries - Germany and France - do not support the introduction of new sanctions against Russia. Speaking at a round table in Kiev on Wednesday, German Ambassador to Ukraine Ernst Reichel confirmed this information.

“A number of EU member states, including Germany, believe that it would be counterproductive to add tension now by imposing new sanctions when tensions have already reached significant levels,” the ambassador noted.

When to expect

According to experts, the likelihood that the United States would rather impose sanctions is much greater.

“There is no point in predicting the timing of introduction. It depends on Ukrainian diplomacy, how they conduct negotiations, and on the goodwill of Western leaders. But, as far as I know, the United States has already prepared a package of sanctions that Trump can sign regarding the oil and gas sector. I do not rule out that at this moment, while we are talking, Trump may sign a decree. As for the European Union, I would not make any predictions here. The Europeans themselves are suffering from the sanctions they have already imposed; they are suffering billions in losses. Therefore, the situation is complicated,” noted political scientist Vitaly Bala.

The same opinion is shared by Vladimir Fesenko.

“I think the European Union will most likely limit itself to extending the sanctions that were introduced back in 2014. Plus, there may also be personal sanctions against people involved in this incident. That's all. No more practical measures or actions will be taken,” the political scientist believes.

Also, in his opinion, negotiations will continue in the framework of the Norman format, one of whose goals will be the release of captured Ukrainian sailors.

“But, in my opinion, some solution to the issue of release, or rather exchange of sailors, will happen after the presidential elections in Ukraine. As is clear from Putin’s rhetoric, he will not accept any “gifts” for Poroshenko. And if it resolves the issues with the sailors – and I think it will – it will be after the elections,” the political scientist said.

Read also on ForumDaily:

Ukraine has banned entry to male Russians: all the details

How the village lives, divided by the barbed wire of the Russian-Ukrainian border

'Consequences and pain': what else does the United States promise to Russia because of the Ukrainian sailors

The Pentagon assessed the chances of Russia to destroy the United States

716 billion on weapons: Trump is unhappy and wants to end the arms race

Miscellanea Tramp Putin At home Sea of ​​Azov
Subscribe to ForumDaily on Google News

Do you want more important and interesting news about life in the USA and immigration to America? — support us donate! Also subscribe to our page Facebook. Select the “Priority in display” option and read us first. Also, don't forget to subscribe to our РєР ° РЅР ° Р »РІ Telegram  and Instagram- there is a lot of interesting things there. And join thousands of readers ForumDaily New York — there you will find a lot of interesting and positive information about life in the metropolis. 



 
1071 requests in 1,216 seconds.