This hurricane season will be more active than usual: storm Ana has already formed in the Atlantic

While forecasters do not expect a repeat of last year's record storm season, they believe the 2021 Atlantic hurricane period will continue to be tense - with more storms than usual. The publication told about this in more detail. NJ.

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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has published its first forecast of the year. Experts estimate that there will be 15 to 30 named storms during the season, which runs from May 13 to November 20. Moreover, the first of them has already been formed. Tropical storm Ana, formed in the Atlantic, has wind speeds of 45 miles (72 km) per hour.

Screenshot: nhc

NOAA Climate Prediction Center conclusion predicts: 60% the chances of an above-normal hurricane season, 30% of a near-normal season, and 10% of a below-normal season.

Of the named storms this year, forecasters expect 6 to 10 to become hurricanes and 3 to 5 to become major hurricanes with powerful winds of 111 miles (178 kilometers) per hour or stronger.

Based on data from the last 30 years, the average Atlantic hurricane season produces 14 storms, seven of which become hurricanes and three of which become major hurricanes.

On the subject: Hurricane season has begun in the USA: step-by-step instructions on how to prepare for storms

“Predicted above-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, weaker tropical Atlantic trade winds and a strengthening of the West African monsoon are likely to be factors in overall activity this year,” said Matthew Rosencrans, lead seasonal hurricane specialist at Climate Prediction Center.

NOAA said its scientists are continuing to investigate how climate change can affect the strength and frequency of tropical storms.

Other hurricane season predictions

Earlier this spring, other forecasters spoke up with their predictions and also herald another active hurricane season in the Atlantic.

AccuWeather predicts 16 to 20 named storms, of which 7-10 will develop into hurricanes. AccuWeather expects three to five of these hurricanes to be severe, with the potential to cause great damage.

Colorado State University weather researchers predicted 17 named storms, eight of which were likely to become hurricanes and four of which were likely to become major hurricanes.

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The Weather Channel predicts 19 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes this season.

If any of these forecasts come true, the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season will be more active than normal for the sixth year in a row. But it won't be as powerful as the hyperactive hurricane season that rocked the Atlantic last year, with a record 30 named storms and 12 that directly hit the United States.

Storms with the following names are expected this year:

• Ana
• Bill
• Claudette
• Danny
• Elsa
• Fred
• Grace
• Henry
• Ida
• Julian
• Kate
• Larry
• Mindy
• Nicholas
• Odette
• Peter
• Rose
• Sam
• Theresa
• Victor
• Wanda

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